METAR Code
-RA/RA/+RA or -SHRA/SHRA/+SHRA
Weather Symbol
Rain and associated mist can act to reduce visibility and cause pooling in regions with no drainage. High rainfall rates, often associated with convection, can cause flooding, and rapid ice melts.
MANOBS: Precipitation of liquid particles, either in the form of drops or larger diameter than 0.5mm, or of smaller widely scattered drops.
Associated terms coming soon:
Dewpoint, lake effect, low-pressure system, orographic lift, and upslope flow are all terms associated with rain that will be coming soon to the Aviation Meteorology Reference.
For large scale regions of precipitation to form, a sufficient amount of moisture must be lifted and cooled to form clouds, in which precipitation can form. As with snow, there are two general types of precipitation: stratiform and convective.
Generally speaking, stratiform precipitation forms in synoptic scale systems (low-pressure systems and troughs) or in upslope flow. Lows and troughs are broad areas of upward vertical motion which causes air to lift, expand, cool and condense. At Canada’s latitude, the main process to form precipitation in low-pressure systems requires a mixture of water droplets and ice crystals in-cloud. This leads to snowflakes forming, which fall into warm temperatures and melt into raindrops.
Upslope flow is another mechanism that causes upward motion that is generally more rapid, but shallower, dropping precipitation at the top of (significant) terrain.
Lastly, convective clouds (TCU, ACC, CB) can produce rain showers, as shown in this image of a rain shaft associated with convective clouds. These shorter duration events can give light to heavy rainfall rates and rapid drops in visibility, depending on the level of instability and moisture available.
Image Source: Jessica Howell, MSC
Rainfall rates are defined as shown in this table of rain intensity rate descriptors as defined in MANOBS 6.6.2.5.2. When the necessary ingredients come together, there are a few other factors that can impact a rain forecast, primarily the environment into which it is falling.
In stratiform situations, often associated with a low-pressure system, rain will often be heaviest near fronts or the low-pressure centre, where upward motion is maximized. Powerful upward motion is also the reason why upslope flow (eg. on the windward side of mountain ranges) often results in very high precipitation accumulations.
It is important to note, though, that the amount of rainfall is dependent on how much moisture is available in-cloud to fall, and having a continuous source of moisture. Low-pressure systems able to pick up more moisture (by passing over water or along a coastline for example), will have more water available to precipitate out than those passing over dry, inland regions.
Highest rainfall rates are often associated with embedded convection within the system, or along the cold front. Organized regions of convective clouds (TCU, ACC) can generate light to heavy rainfall, depending on the moisture available in the environment.
Reduction to visibility in rainfall is often caused in part by mist caused as rain evaporates into the air around it. While rain or rain showers alone can reduce visibility, light and moderate rain are generally not able to reduce visibility significantly without the presence of mist (MANOBS 6.6.2.5.1 Note), whereas heavy rain can.
The environment that the rain falls into is equally important to determining rainfall accumulation and visibility. When rain falls into an air mass, it is affected by the dryness/humidity of that air mass. When rain falls into an already relatively humid air mass, some evaporation of raindrops will occur in the low levels, but most rain drops will make it to the ground.
“Virga” is observed when rain falls into a layer of dry air below the cloud, in which the rain partially or completely evaporates before reaching the surface. Depending on how dry and deep the air is, it is possible that no rain would be reported on the ground, or the intensity may be much lighter at the surface than what would be experienced closer to the cloud.
However, since rain is occurring high above ground, radar is still able to detect precipitation. This can be misleading to users, as it gives the appearance of (often) broad regions of rain approaching, while nothing is reported on the ground.
This is a depiction of virga as well as rain reaching the surface. On the left, rain falls into an extremely dry layer at the surface and evaporates before contacting the ground, whereas on the right, the rain falls into a more humid surface layer and makes contact with the ground.
Image Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada
Dissipation
Rain can dissipate for a variety of reasons. Stratiform rain will begin to fizzle out when there is no longer adequate moisture being fed into the system to support more precipitation forming. In the case of upslope flow, when the wind shifts away from terrain, or there is a change in air mass bringing in drier air (cutting off moisture inflow), rain will taper off.
In the case of convective rain showers, when supported by frontal features (or troughs), rain showers will weaken with dissipating fronts. Convection will otherwise exhaust itself once the influx of moisture has stopped, and been precipitated out, and/or its supporting trigger dissipates.
In the case of virga, it will cease when one of two things happens. First, as the rain falls, it will continually evaporate into the dry air, saturating it from top down. Once the falling rain has reduced the depth and dryness all the way to the ground, rain can be reported, and the virga is no more. Otherwise, virga will cease when the cloud has precipitated out all available moisture, but the depth of the dry layer remains deep.
Duration
A rain event associated with a low-pressure system could last from hours up to a few days depending on the trajectory of the system. Upslope flow generated snow can persist for several hours, until wind direction shifts or there is a change in air mass.
Meanwhile, convective snow showers are relatively short and sporadic, lasting from only minutes, to several hours in duration.
The images in this carousel show precipitation climatology for each of the four seasons in Canada (shown here is the winter). Note that in the Winter months rainfall amounts decrease especially over central Canada, and the coastal areas receive the most precipitation.
Rainfall distribution across Canada varies widely seasonally, and while it can fall anytime, it predominantly does so in spring, summer and fall. While low-pressure systems are generally weaker in the summer months, convection is more ubiquitous and falls more frequently everywhere.
During all three seasons, it is noteworthy that coastal regions generally have higher accumulations, due to their ample sources of moisture. The west coast is particularly susceptible to high accumulations, as upslope flow over its abundant mountain chains forces rain to fall on the windward side, while the east coast continues to be the end point of many storm and hurricane tracks.
Image Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada
The images in this carousel show precipitation climatology for each of the four seasons in Canada (shown here is the spring). Note that in the Winter months rainfall amounts decrease especially over central Canada, and the coastal areas receive the most precipitation.
Rainfall distribution across Canada varies widely seasonally, and while it can fall anytime, it predominantly does so in spring, summer and fall. While low-pressure systems are generally weaker in the summer months, convection is more ubiquitous and falls more frequently everywhere.
During all three seasons, it is noteworthy that coastal regions generally have higher accumulations, due to their ample sources of moisture. The west coast is particularly susceptible to high accumulations, as upslope flow over its abundant mountain chains forces rain to fall on the windward side, while the east coast continues to be the end point of many storm and hurricane tracks.
Image Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada
The images in this carousel show precipitation climatology for each of the four seasons in Canada (shown here is the summer). Note that in the Winter months rainfall amounts decrease especially over central Canada, and the coastal areas receive the most precipitation.
Rainfall distribution across Canada varies widely seasonally, and while it can fall anytime, it predominantly does so in spring, summer and fall. While low-pressure systems are generally weaker in the summer months, convection is more ubiquitous and falls more frequently everywhere.
During all three seasons, it is noteworthy that coastal regions generally have higher accumulations, due to their ample sources of moisture. The west coast is particularly susceptible to high accumulations, as upslope flow over its abundant mountain chains forces rain to fall on the windward side, while the east coast continues to be the end point of many storm and hurricane tracks.
Image Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada
The images in this carousel show precipitation climatology for each of the four seasons in Canada (shown here is the fall). Note that in the Winter months rainfall amounts decrease especially over central Canada, and the coastal areas receive the most precipitation.
Rainfall distribution across Canada varies widely seasonally, and while it can fall anytime, it predominantly does so in spring, summer and fall. While low-pressure systems are generally weaker in the summer months, convection is more ubiquitous and falls more frequently everywhere.
During all three seasons, it is noteworthy that coastal regions generally have higher accumulations, due to their ample sources of moisture. The west coast is particularly susceptible to high accumulations, as upslope flow over its abundant mountain chains forces rain to fall on the windward side, while the east coast continues to be the end point of many storm and hurricane tracks.
Image Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada
Similar to other precipitation types, forecasting rain can be challenging with temperatures near zero, as it can transition rapidly between rain and wet snow in humid conditions, and surface temperatures are also an important factor. Forecasters do not usually have real time updates on the true depth of warm air above the surface, which can render forecasting precipitation type difficult.
Virga is especially difficult to forecast as it is not often well handled by model guidance. With a lack of real time data showing the true humidity of the mid-levels, it can be quite challenging to determine the exact moment when virga will saturate the dry air enough to reach the ground. While verifying the true edge of precipitation against surface observations of rain is very useful, in data sparse regions, it can still often be difficult to determine where rain is actually reaching the ground.
Convection is often quite small compared to numerical model resolution, which makes the exact location of less organized convective showers in long term forecasts harder to predict, as models cannot resolve small features very well. This is also the case for embedded convection, which can make accumulations difficult to predict, as locally higher amounts in convective showers are often smoothed out.
Additionally, rainfall amounts are difficult to forecast, especially in convective situations. While there will always be some aerial variation in precipitation amounts with both stratiform and convective precipitation, convective precipitation amounts can vary wildly even over a short distance. In certain extreme situations, intense convective showers can produce over 50mm in a short period of time over one portion of a city whereas the other portion sees little accumulations, as an example.
These GFA panels valid at 1200Z on August 9, 2023, show a low-pressure system expected to bring rain and convective activity to the Maritimes, Quebec north shore, and southwestern Labrador. The rain is primarily associated with the low itself, with highest precipitation accumulations likely in convective showers, thunderstorms, in localized mountainous areas susceptible to the effects of orographic lift, and in areas with enhanced surface convergence (such as along the frontal boundaries). Precipitation is forecast to dissipate behind the cold front and on the backside of the low, with the southwestern tip of Nova Scotia forecast to be in low stratus, drizzle, and possible fog by 1200Z. This dissipation is caused by subsidence of air behind the cold front, which inhibits organized rain from developing. The deep overcast deck from which the rain is falling also supports icing formation, as shown in the icing and turbulence panel, with mixed icing predicted from the freezing level to 22,000ft.
The TAF issued for CYHZ starting at 2100Z on August 8th, 2023, shows the progression of rain expected at the airport as the low moves across the area. Primarily convective showers are expected as it is the term -SHRA used and not -RA. The most intense precipitation is associated with the approach and passage of fronts starting at 0700Z on August 9th, shown by moderate showers along with a risk of thunderstorms between 0800Z and 1100Z. As shown in the GFA, the rain is forecast to end behind the frontal passage – captured in the TAF at 1100Z with the onset of drizzle and mist and the dissipation of convective shower activity.
Atmospheric profiles through the day on August 9, 2023 at CYHZ show the model predicted gradual entry and onset of rain showers in Halifax. Please note that this is from an American product. Even though surface temperature and dewpoint are shown in degrees Fahrenheit, the x-axis and profile are all in degrees Celsius. Between 0000Z and 0600Z on August 9th, profiles hint at a dry layer of air in the low-mid levels with the main cloud deck ahead of the low forecast around 10,000FT with a lower layer of cloud near the surface. This is reflected in the TAF with light showers, and OVC100 ceilings with BKN020-025 ceilings below. The distance between these two cloud decks is representative of the low-mid level dry air into which light showers from the low are falling and slowly saturating, bringing cloud bases gradually closer to the surface. After 0600Z the entire vertical profile becomes saturated and some atmospheric instability develops, supporting continued rain showers and the risk of thunderstorms also shown in the TAF.
Though there is some improvement in surface ceilings and visibility suggested after 1500Z, it is only some 24hrs later, closer to 0600Z on August 10th, that the forecast model suggests the atmosphere will truly stabilize. A note of caution: forecast models often struggle with boundary layer conditions, which is where forecasters bring significant added value by applying scientific reasoning to appropriately determine what's most likely to happen. This is one of the reasons why forecast products issued by aviation meteorologists may differ from pure forecast model data.
The dissipation of rain and stabilization of the atmosphere is shown in the forecast temperature profile by a layer of stability through the mid-levels and in dewpoint temperatures dropping significantly. This drastic shift in dewpoints and changes in temperature at mid and high levels points to sinking air aloft, which inhibits cloud formation and no longer supports the development of precipitation.
This RDPS model data shows the precipitation type and rate forecast for 0000Z on August 9th until 1200Z August 10th, as well as the most likely progression and evolution of a low-pressure system and rain tracking across the Maritimes. Forecasters assess many tools when creating a precipitation/accumulation forecast, such as model data, current observations and upstream data, and conditions which might enhance precipitation (such as local effects) which may be missed by forecast models. In this event, higher rain accumulations are forecast along the frontal boundaries and in the vicinity of the low, as well as over North Shore Quebec into Labrador. This is likely due to a mix of embedded convection as shown in the GFA, onshore flow, and mesoscale phenomena enhancing lift on a small scale. Drier conditions are forecast behind the fronts and the low as atmospheric conditions shift to no longer support continuous rain development, as seen in the atmospheric profiles.
Image Source: Pivotal Weather
This RDPS graphic following the same timeframe August 9th at 0000Z to August 10th at 1200Z provides a glimpse of forecast rain accumulations throughout the period. Highest accumulations are forecast along frontal boundaries, likely enhanced by the anticipated atmospheric instability along the fronts, as shown in atmospheric profiles. The fronts also provide the best synoptic support for enhanced lift, while more mesoscale features such as mountains and onshore flow can do the same on a smaller scale. This is where accumulation forecasts, especially in convective events, can become more difficult.
Image Source: Pivotal Weather
Multispectral GeoColorOpen a new window satellite imagery valid 1100Z until 1350Z on August 9th shows the progression of the low across the Maritimes and eastern Canada. Rain and convective showers are associated with the deeper clouds over the eastern half of Nova Scotia, into New Brunswick and north into Quebec and the Gulf of the St. Lawrence. This imagery can make it more difficult to differentiate low from high cloud, but in this case one signature to track is the cloud shadow seen at sunrise closer to 1100Z near Halifax, NS (recalling that the sun rises in the east, casting shadows towards the west). This shadow indicates cloud tops that are higher than clouds over southwestern Nova Scotia and is likely associated with the location of the frontal boundaries shown in the forecast GFA valid at 1200Z.
Image Source: CIRA
Multispectral day cloud phase description imagery more clearly distinguishes cloud tops between rain-producing cloud ahead of frontal boundaries and possible drizzle-producing low stratus behind them. The descriptions in the legend also support the icing described within the GFA forecast at 1200Z, with ice observed within the cloud tops shown in yellow.
Image Source: CIRA
Radar imagery valid 0830Z through 1400Z shows the progression of rain and convection across the Maritimes. Higher areas of accumulations are located at the forecast location of fronts shown in the GFA, while lighter precipitation exists well ahead of them (matching well with the light showers in the CYHZ TAF ahead of the fronts at 0000Z). On-going convection is also present across Nova Scotia, including over Halifax (CYHZ), captured in the forecast TAF for CYHZ between 0700Z and 1100Z as moderate showers and a risk of thunderstorms. The subtle difference in intensities seen on radar, especially in thunderstorms, can imply rapid changes in precipitation rate and total accumulation over a single site. It’s often why the notion of “higher amounts in thunderstorms/convection” is mentioned while much lower amounts may be provided in hourly forecast accumulations.
METARs from Halifax (CYHZ) capture the rain and thunderstorms that moved across the region on the morning of August 9th. The continuous nature of the precipitation was initially forecast in both the GFAs and the TAF, along with the risk of convective activity. The 1000Z METAR also shows that 13mm of rain fell in the previous hour in heavy rain showers and thunderstorms (see /R13/ on METAR line) between 0900Z and 1000Z.
Image Source: OGIMET
SIGMET H3 was issued with the frequent thunderstorms observed moving across Nova Scotia. While SIGMETs are not issued for rain, thunderstorms, steady or heavy convective showers, and high rain accumulations can cause flash flooding and/or standing water accumulation on airport surfaces and as such are important to underline.
Aviation hazards for rain include reduced braking action, crosswind limitations, slippery surfaces, increased runway occupation time, reduced airport capacity, and reduced ceilings/visibility.
We would start to be concerned when rainfall warnings are issued or the amount of rain being experienced is starting to have impacts and effects to airport operations. The overall duration, accumulation amounts including hourly would be of use to us. We rely on our usual sources of weather information including: Environment Canada, TAF, and airport authority-specific providers (IBM Weather Services, RWDI, WPRED).
The main impacts of concern are:
Operations Duty Managers
Rain can impact operations when enough falls to impact breaking action and aircraft control (increase in runway occupancy time) and/or force a change in runway configuration due to crosswind thresholds for wet/contaminated runways. For example, CYYZ has a maximum crosswind limit of 20KT for wet runways while for dry it is 30KT. Note that crosswind limits for other airports differ: 15KT for wet runways and 25KT for dry. These limits can force a less favorable configuration and potentially impact the airport’s arrival rate. Hourly accumulations (HubWX), Forecaster Notes, and the visual TAF are primary strategic tools when assessing onset, accumulation, and duration - which are the primary critical factors. More tactically, CoSPA and/or radar imagery, and upstream observations become the primary tools.
CZE (Edmonton Flight Information Region): Rain is a concern when you have wet runways and gusty sideways winds. Runway changes are required when runways are at 15 knots compared to 25 when runways are dry. We do pay attention to when the rain is forecasted to end so that we have an idea when the runways may be switched back. This is important to an airport like Calgary that has only a single runway for west winds.
ATC (Major Tower)
Major airports that only have two parallel runways (ex: CYUL) do not see as large of an impact as those that have multiple parallels (ex: CYYZ). Where there are multiple configurations possible, runway crosswind thresholds in wet or contaminated (standing water) conditions may result in a runway configuration change and impact the airport’s capacity. For example, in CYYZ, the crosswind threshold for dry runways is 30KT, for wet 20KT, and for contaminated 15KT. If crosswinds exceed these thresholds, a runway change is very likely to occur. In all cases, however, wet/contaminated runways increase runway occupancy time, which can require increased spacing between aircraft depending on throughput into the airport at the time.
Rain is always of interest to FSS, as it can support rapid changes in visibility and ceilings to the detriment of flight operations. The character of rain, be it steady or showery in nature, will be defined by the weather feature which causes the rain. Intensity of rain will influence a Pilot’s decision whether to launch or not, so it is imperative that an FSS be prepared to provide accurate, timely information to support good Pilot decision making.
Advisory specialists will be on the watch during a rain event, as the increase in moisture near to the ground can cause stratus fractus and or mist/fog formation. When the temperature/dew point spread is wider near the surface than aloft, rainfall can actually drive down the temperature because of evaporative cooling while simultaneously adding water vapour to the air and driving up the dew point. Prolonged or heavy rainfall can cause standing water on manoeuvring areas, which we would be in contact with airport maintenance Personnel to assess and mitigate as required.
Rain is not a huge concern to low-level enroute controllers. A light rain falling over an airport has minimal impact (the ceiling may still be ok for visual approaches for example). Rain begins to matter when it is falling more heavily. Landing capacity is reduced when moderate or heavy rain is falling. Visibility at the airport necessitates more mileage on final approach, which in the low-level enroute can result in airborne holding and increase in workload. If rain accumulates on the runway, aircraft may take longer to exit the runway. If because of rain the landing rate is reduced and demand exceeds the airport’s capacity, it may require a ground delay program to avoid overload, and possible enroute delays that increase our workload.
If rain is forecast to fall all day, ATC will prepare for reduced capacity and the possibility of airborne delays. The forecasting tool that we use most frequently is the TAF and/or METARs. Depending on the actual severity of the rain, we will adapt throughout the day as need be.
Dispatchers consider the following when considering rain:
In general, rain has a negative effect on aircraft performance during landing and take off:
The presence of rain adds some operational considerations and risks for general aviation (GA) pilots which can largely be grouped into ground vs flight. On the ground, these are primarily relating to takeoff and landing operations. Rain can create more hazardous conditions including slippery sections of a runway, hydroplaning and loss of control. It will often increase takeoff and landing distances and need to be accounted for. A pilot who fails to account for this might find themselves having a harder time slowing down the aircraft and might apply the brakes more heavily, potentially locking the brakes and creating a risk of loss of control. They may also find themselves moving too fast at the point they had planned to exit the runway, causing a loss of control as they turn to exit the runway.
In flight, rain can sometimes change to different types of precipitation related to a front and/or changes in temperature, sometimes related to changes in altitude. If rain becomes snow or freezing rain, the associated risks will change as well (please see sections relating to those topics). That said, the biggest issue associated with rain is usually visibility. This is further expanded upon in the section relating to precipitation rate. In brief, light rain can make it harder for pilots flying visually (VFR) to navigate based on long range references (mountains, bodies of water) as well as to notice obstacles or conflicting traffic approaching. As rain becomes heavier, it can make visual navigation increasingly difficult by removing closer navigation references such as landmarks, rivers, towns. Each pilot will have a different tolerance level for flying in rain, given their level of experience with precipitation and their knowledge of the area in which they will be flying. That said, a good pilot will always have backup options and be prepared for conditions to change, in addition to making use of available navigation aids to mitigate risks when possible. These include radio navigation, GPS, Air Traffic Services, and other related equipment and tools. A pilot that is not as experienced or prepared may find themselves in a risky situation if the rain changes in severity or type (ice/freezing). As always, pilots should use all available weather products, consult a FIC for an interpretive weather briefing, and know which will provide the best picture of the overall weather that they will expect. For rain, the METAR, TAF, and GFA are good resources. When available, weather radar and airport camera imagery can add some useful local information.